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Red47
594822.8
478214.0
97024.4
Blue39
928016.1
90604.6
570518.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44250204060804739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5948
#10
22.80.2
20.220.4
Auto10.4
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 4.5
5705
#13Sur
18.31.6
7.79.3
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Second
4782
#12
14.00.2
10.510.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End0.6
blue by 2.0
9280
#11
16.11.0
11.212.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Third
9702
#22Sur
4.40.3
7.07.3
Auto2.2
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 0.2
9060
#26
4.61.6
5.87.4
Auto1.8
Teleop2.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed