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Red23
401012.8
47356.3
95939.0
Blue27
347211.1
97024.4
66054.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25265101520303540452327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#14
12.80.2
8.98.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
red by 1.8
11.10.4
9.28.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Second
9.00.2
7.17.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End0.5
red by 4.6
9702
#22
4.40.6
6.45.7
Auto2.2
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Third
4735
#24
6.30.2
7.37.1
Auto1.9
Teleop4.3
End0.1
red by 1.9
6605
#23
4.40.6
7.16.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed