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Red38
588714.7
710222.8
66065.6
Blue44
570518.3
90604.6
477511.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3828010205060703844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.2
18.819.0
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End2.3
red by 4.6
5705
#13
18.31.9
11.613.6
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Second
5887
#18
14.70.2
7.07.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.7
End0.6
red by 3.5
4775
#19
11.21.2
7.99.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.7
End1.6
Third
6606
#29
5.60.3
7.78.0
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End1.3
red by 1.0
9060
#26
4.61.9
7.08.9
Auto1.8
Teleop2.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed