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Red39
435510.6
335410.5
689612.0
Blue36
91035.7
66088.6
594822.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253701020305060703936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.01.6
5.47.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End0.2
blue by 10.8
5948
#10
22.80.3
20.520.7
Auto10.4
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Second
4355
#17
10.61.6
7.59.1
Auto5.6
Teleop2.4
End2.7
red by 2.0
6608
#25
8.60.4
4.24.6
Auto2.6
Teleop5.5
End0.6
Third
3354
#15
10.51.6
11.313.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End0.6
red by 4.8
9103
#16
5.70.4
7.58.0
Auto1.5
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed