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Red51
710222.8
92828.9
95939.0
Blue20
347211.1
35275.7
90604.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3822010305060705120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.81.2
19.020.2
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End2.3
red by 11.8
11.10.3
8.88.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Second
9.01.2
7.08.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End0.5
red by 3.3
3527
#20
5.70.4
4.13.7
Auto0.7
Teleop4.5
End0.5
Third
9282
#28
8.91.2
6.67.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End1.0
red by 4.4
9060
#26
4.60.4
8.98.5
Auto1.8
Teleop2.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed