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Red51
670218.6
570518.3
47319.8
Blue75
347832.9
588714.7
401012.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33520204060801005175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.61.9
12.114.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
blue by 14.3
32.92.0
28.630.6
Auto12.6
Teleop16.8
End3.5
Second
5705
#13
18.31.9
13.615.5
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 3.6
5887
#18
14.72.0
7.29.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.7
End0.6
Third
4731
#27
9.81.9
6.28.1
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 3.0
4010
#14
12.82.0
8.810.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed