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Red46
35275.7
664720.3
478214.0
Blue64
913411.4
710222.8
689612.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32450204060804664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.0
16.217.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.0
End1.3
blue by 2.5
22.81.6
18.320.0
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End2.3
Second
4782
#12
14.01.0
12.213.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End0.6
red by 2.0
12.02.4
10.212.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End0.2
Third
3527
#20
5.71.6
2.13.7
Auto0.7
Teleop4.5
End0.5
blue by 5.7
9134
#21
11.42.5
11.013.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed