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Red30
66065.6
401012.8
66088.6
Blue45
92828.9
588714.7
594822.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29460204060801003045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#14
12.80.2
12.111.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
blue by 9.9
5948
#10
22.80.4
22.322.7
Auto10.4
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Second
6608
#25
8.60.3
8.98.6
Auto2.6
Teleop5.5
End0.6
blue by 6.0
5887
#18
14.70.4
10.510.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.7
End0.6
Third
6606
#29
5.60.3
7.16.8
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End1.3
blue by 3.4
9282
#28
8.90.4
6.87.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed