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Red43
435510.6
570518.3
669414.0
Blue51
95939.0
47319.8
928016.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44350204060801004351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5705
#13
18.30.1
14.814.7
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 2.2
9280
#11
16.10.6
16.617.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Second
14.00.1
14.414.3
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End1.6
red by 4.2
4731
#27
9.80.9
8.19.0
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Third
4355
#17
10.60.1
9.79.6
Auto5.6
Teleop2.4
End2.7
red by 1.6
9.00.6
7.78.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned