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Red19
92828.9
477511.2
66054.4
Blue73
347832.9
435510.6
710222.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2561040801001973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4775
#19
11.20.6
10.69.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.7
End1.6
blue by 21.7
32.91.8
26.528.3
Auto12.6
Teleop16.8
End3.5
Second
9282
#28
8.90.6
7.66.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End1.0
blue by 13.9
22.81.8
15.317.1
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End2.3
Third
6605
#23
4.40.9
8.77.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.6
End0.8
blue by 6.2
4355
#17
10.62.5
9.011.5
Auto5.6
Teleop2.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned