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Red47
90604.6
594822.8
664720.3
Blue23
47356.3
47319.8
347211.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions472304060801004723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5948
#10
22.80.6
19.620.2
Auto10.4
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 11.7
11.10.1
8.07.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Second
20.30.6
13.013.6
Auto2.9
Teleop16.0
End1.3
red by 10.4
4731
#27
9.80.1
8.48.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Third
9060
#26
4.60.8
6.97.7
Auto1.8
Teleop2.6
End0.2
blue by 1.8
4735
#24
6.30.1
7.67.5
Auto1.9
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed