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Red4
66088.6
97024.4
570518.3
Blue29
478214.0
669414.0
335410.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2933020406080100120140429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5705
#13
18.32.5
10.27.7
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 4.2
14.00.0
9.29.1
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Second
6608
#25
8.62.5
7.14.6
Auto2.6
Teleop5.5
End0.6
blue by 5.4
4782
#12
14.00.0
10.510.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End0.6
Third
9702
#22
4.42.5
9.67.0
Auto2.2
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 6.1
3354
#15
10.50.0
9.69.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed