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Red14
35275.7
477511.2
928016.1
Blue20
913411.4
435510.6
95939.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31341520254045501420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9280
#11
16.11.0
12.211.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 4.7
9134
#21
11.42.3
11.89.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End1.2
Second
4775
#19
11.21.1
9.98.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.7
End1.6
red by 0.5
4355
#17
10.62.3
11.59.2
Auto5.6
Teleop2.4
End2.7
Third
3527
#20
5.71.6
6.64.9
Auto0.7
Teleop4.5
End0.5
blue by 3.3
9.01.5
7.25.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed