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Red7
588714.7
66054.4
90604.6
Blue36
594822.8
47319.8
689612.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2541010203050607080736

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5887
#18
14.71.3
9.07.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.7
End0.6
blue by 8.1
5948
#10
22.80.1
20.220.2
Auto10.4
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Second
9060
#26
4.61.9
7.75.8
Auto1.8
Teleop2.6
End0.2
blue by 7.4
12.00.1
6.86.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End0.2
Third
6605
#23
4.41.9
7.85.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.6
End0.8
blue by 5.4
4731
#27
9.80.1
8.38.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed