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Red50
47356.3
710222.8
664720.3
Blue33
92828.9
670218.6
401012.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45260204060801005033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.9
17.118.0
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End2.3
red by 4.2
18.60.3
11.912.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Second
20.30.8
13.614.4
Auto2.9
Teleop16.0
End1.3
red by 7.4
4010
#14
12.80.2
6.66.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
Third
4735
#24
6.30.9
7.58.4
Auto1.9
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 2.6
9282
#28
8.90.2
6.97.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed