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Red28
710222.8
97024.4
47319.8
Blue39
601722.0
478214.0
91035.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35480204060802839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.4
20.019.6
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End2.3
red by 0.9
22.00.2
21.221.1
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.5
Second
4731
#27
9.80.5
9.08.5
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 4.2
4782
#12
14.00.2
13.313.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End0.6
Third
9702
#22
4.40.5
4.44.0
Auto2.2
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 1.2
9103
#16
5.70.2
7.16.8
Auto1.5
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed