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Red67
477511.2
588714.7
664720.3
Blue26
66054.4
928016.1
335410.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4338102030506070806726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.6
17.819.4
Auto2.9
Teleop16.0
End1.3
red by 4.2
9280
#11
16.10.6
17.216.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Second
5887
#18
14.71.6
10.912.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.7
End0.6
red by 4.2
3354
#15
10.50.8
12.611.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End0.6
Third
4775
#19
11.21.6
9.611.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.7
End1.6
red by 6.8
6605
#23
4.40.9
5.44.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed