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Red39
913411.4
401012.8
90604.6
Blue67
347211.1
347832.9
95939.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325902040801003967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#14
12.80.5
13.112.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
blue by 20.1
32.90.5
32.532.9
Auto12.6
Teleop16.8
End3.5
Second
9134
#21
11.40.8
13.512.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End1.2
red by 0.3
11.10.5
9.19.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Third
9060
#26
4.60.6
5.24.6
Auto1.8
Teleop2.6
End0.2
blue by 4.4
9.00.5
8.38.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed