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Red86
570518.3
601722.0
47356.3
Blue66
664720.3
928016.1
435510.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4553204060801008666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.9
21.122.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.5
red by 1.7
20.30.7
19.418.6
Auto2.9
Teleop16.0
End1.3
Second
5705
#13
18.31.1
15.516.6
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 2.2
9280
#11
16.10.7
16.515.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Third
4735
#24
6.30.9
5.46.4
Auto1.9
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 4.3
4355
#17
10.60.9
11.310.3
Auto5.6
Teleop2.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed