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Red55
634811.9
768714.8
228318.6
Blue68
76539.2
463535.7
810513.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276102040801001205568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#26
18.62.9
12.715.6
Auto9.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
blue by 17.1
35.70.8
32.433.2
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Second
7687
#27
14.82.9
7.110.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.7
red by 1.4
8105
#10
13.41.3
8.59.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.3
Third
6348
#37
11.91.8
8.910.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End0.9
red by 2.7
7653
#38
9.21.3
10.611.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned