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Red27
82903.1
61994.5
617016.1
Blue39
335413.8
587410.7
855810.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31290102040506070802739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.1
13.413.3
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
red by 2.2
13.80.2
11.111.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End1.4
Second
6199
#40
4.50.1
9.08.9
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.4
blue by 6.1
5874
#22
10.70.3
8.08.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End0.7
Third
8290
#41
3.10.1
5.65.5
Auto1.8
Teleop0.7
End0.5
blue by 7.1
8558
#21
10.10.3
7.67.8
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned