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Red43
75468.6
913413.8
704010.9
Blue34
70187.8
82918.1
440325.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35560204060804334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9134
#11
13.80.1
14.614.5
Auto6.8
Teleop6.0
End0.9
blue by 12.1
25.90.9
25.324.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.9
End1.5
Second
7040
#34
10.90.1
11.611.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.8
red by 2.8
8291
#20
8.11.5
12.511.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Third
7546
#23
8.60.1
7.77.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.1
End0.5
red by 0.8
7018
#31
7.81.5
10.08.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed