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Red58
68969.2
53129.5
670218.8
Blue28
435512.6
634811.9
951311.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373720304050605828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6702
#19
18.80.9
18.619.5
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.7
red by 6.2
4355
#12
12.60.3
11.411.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End2.5
Second
5312
#29
9.50.9
6.47.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End1.3
blue by 2.5
6348
#37
11.90.3
10.710.4
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Third
6896
#33
9.20.9
9.610.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End-0.0
blue by 2.4
9513
#30
11.60.5
10.19.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed