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Red32
440114.3
620018.1
47357.8
Blue45
228318.6
829312.0
617016.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37422030506070803245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6200
#14
18.10.2
16.616.4
Auto8.8
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 0.5
2283
#26
18.60.6
15.616.2
Auto9.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Second
4401
#24
14.30.2
10.510.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End2.0
blue by 1.8
16.10.3
13.313.7
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Third
4735
#35
7.80.1
7.16.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End0.5
blue by 4.2
8293
#25
12.00.6
8.99.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed