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Red46
826616.2
855810.1
76539.2
Blue50
552611.1
463535.7
82903.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3859020801004650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8266
#13
16.20.3
17.317.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 19.5
35.70.7
33.232.4
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Second
8558
#21
10.10.3
7.87.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 1.0
5526
#17
11.11.2
12.411.2
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End0.6
Third
7653
#38
9.20.3
11.811.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.2
red by 6.2
8290
#41
3.11.2
5.54.3
Auto1.8
Teleop0.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed