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Red79
440035.1
335413.8
912010.1
Blue37
810513.4
949912.1
913413.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6137020801001207937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.11.1
30.731.8
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End1.9
red by 21.4
9134
#11
13.80.2
14.514.3
Auto6.8
Teleop6.0
End0.9
Second
13.81.1
11.312.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End1.4
red by 0.4
8105
#10
13.40.4
9.89.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.3
Third
9120
#16
10.11.9
10.112.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End0.5
blue by 2.0
9499
#15
12.10.4
12.311.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed