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Red58
829312.0
460319.5
352614.0
Blue32
75468.6
634811.9
70187.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382802060805832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.9
11.812.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 7.5
6348
#37
11.90.1
10.410.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Second
14.00.5
11.912.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.1
red by 5.3
7546
#23
8.60.1
7.77.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.1
End0.5
Third
8293
#25
12.00.8
9.410.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.4
red by 4.2
7018
#31
7.80.2
8.48.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed