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Red9
440114.3
61994.5
76696.7
Blue70
620018.1
951311.6
477516.1
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3145020406080970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4401
#24
14.32.2
10.28.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End2.0
blue by 3.7
6200
#14
18.12.1
16.418.5
Auto8.8
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Second
7669
#39
6.72.2
10.88.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 9.4
16.11.4
12.814.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Third
6199
#40
4.52.2
8.86.6
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.4
blue by 7.0
9513
#30
11.62.1
9.611.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed