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Red33
70187.8
913413.8
620018.1
Blue18
47357.8
76539.2
951311.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48310204060801003318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6200
#14
18.10.8
18.517.7
Auto8.8
Teleop7.7
End1.6
red by 6.5
9513
#30
11.61.6
11.710.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End1.7
Second
9134
#11
13.80.5
14.313.8
Auto6.8
Teleop6.0
End0.9
red by 4.5
7653
#38
9.21.6
10.99.2
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.2
Third
7018
#31
7.80.8
8.37.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End-0.3
Level
4735
#35
7.81.1
7.66.4
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed