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Red43
855810.1
829312.0
552611.1
Blue25
704010.9
76696.7
757713.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313801020506070804325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8293
#25
12.00.0
10.210.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.4
blue by 1.1
7577
#18
13.10.8
13.913.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.4
Second
5526
#17
11.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End0.6
red by 0.2
7040
#34
10.90.9
10.810.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Third
8558
#21
10.10.0
8.78.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End1.8
red by 3.4
7669
#39
6.70.8
8.67.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed