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Red55
440325.9
670218.8
463535.7
Blue26
335413.8
348013.1
68969.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92260204060801001201405526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.71.3
32.130.8
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 21.8
13.80.4
12.812.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End1.4
Second
25.91.3
24.823.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.9
End1.5
red by 12.8
3480
#28
13.10.5
9.18.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Third
6702
#19
18.81.3
18.216.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.7
red by 9.6
6896
#33
9.20.4
9.89.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed