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Red78
440035.1
53129.5
352614.0
Blue27
71618.8
82918.1
228318.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5840020801001207827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.8
31.131.9
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End1.9
red by 16.6
2283
#26
18.61.6
19.417.8
Auto9.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Second
14.00.8
12.513.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.1
red by 5.2
7161
#32
8.81.6
8.46.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Third
5312
#29
9.50.8
6.97.8
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End1.3
red by 1.4
8291
#20
8.11.6
10.38.8
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed