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Red68
440114.3
435512.6
463535.7
Blue29
949912.1
82903.1
76696.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6120040801006829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.71.2
30.831.9
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 23.6
9499
#15
12.10.9
12.411.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End3.1
Second
4401
#24
14.31.7
8.19.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End2.0
red by 7.6
7669
#39
6.70.8
7.87.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End0.5
Third
4355
#12
12.61.2
11.512.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End2.5
red by 9.6
8290
#41
3.10.8
3.02.2
Auto1.8
Teleop0.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed