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Red46
620018.1
757713.1
76539.2
Blue67
53129.5
335413.8
460319.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4539102030506070804667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6200
#14
18.10.4
17.718.1
Auto8.8
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 1.4
19.52.0
15.917.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Second
7577
#18
13.10.4
13.113.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.4
blue by 0.7
13.81.4
12.413.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End1.4
Third
7653
#38
9.20.4
9.29.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.2
blue by 0.2
5312
#29
9.51.4
7.89.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed