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Red37
913413.8
552611.1
335413.8
Blue44
71618.8
570522.2
634811.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424502060801003744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.80.4
13.813.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End1.4
blue by 8.4
22.20.2
20.220.4
Auto10.2
Teleop10.5
End1.5
Second
9134
#11
13.80.4
14.714.3
Auto6.8
Teleop6.0
End0.9
red by 1.8
6348
#37
11.90.2
11.912.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Third
5526
#17
11.10.5
10.09.5
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End0.6
red by 2.3
7161
#32
8.80.3
8.58.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed