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Red36
76696.7
228318.6
76539.2
Blue68
440325.9
440035.1
703710.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328002040601001203668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#26
18.60.3
18.318.0
Auto9.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
blue by 16.6
35.10.1
32.132.2
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End1.9
Second
7653
#38
9.20.3
9.69.2
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.2
blue by 16.7
25.90.1
24.424.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.9
End1.5
Third
7669
#39
6.70.3
7.06.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 3.9
7037
#36
10.60.1
10.510.6
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed