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Red55
810513.4
352614.0
440114.3
Blue36
704010.9
53129.5
435512.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4234102030506070805536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4401
#24
14.31.5
11.012.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End2.0
red by 1.7
4355
#12
12.60.3
12.512.8
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End2.5
Second
14.01.2
13.114.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.1
red by 3.1
7040
#34
10.90.4
9.910.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Third
8105
#10
13.41.5
12.514.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.3
red by 4.0
5312
#29
9.50.3
9.29.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed