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Red56
570522.2
460319.5
949912.1
Blue49
670218.8
47357.8
768714.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5939020801005649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.3
20.420.7
Auto10.2
Teleop10.5
End1.5
red by 3.4
6702
#19
18.80.8
16.417.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Second
19.50.4
18.919.3
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 4.6
7687
#27
14.80.9
14.014.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.7
Third
9499
#15
12.10.4
11.812.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End3.1
red by 4.3
4735
#35
7.80.8
7.07.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed