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Red36
477516.1
460319.5
82918.1
Blue53
228318.6
949912.1
335413.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494930354045556065703653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.2
19.719.5
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 0.9
2283
#26
18.60.2
18.618.4
Auto9.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Second
16.10.2
16.316.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.1
End1.2
red by 2.3
13.80.1
13.913.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End1.4
Third
8291
#20
8.10.2
8.38.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End0.6
blue by 4.0
9499
#15
12.10.1
12.112.0
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End3.1