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Red104
348013.1
463535.7
440035.1
Blue57
552611.1
440325.9
570522.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions925920408010012014016010457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.5
34.334.8
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 9.8
25.90.0
25.325.3
Auto8.5
Teleop15.9
End1.5
Second
35.10.5
33.734.3
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End1.9
red by 12.9
22.20.0
21.621.6
Auto10.2
Teleop10.5
End1.5
Third
3480
#28
13.10.6
11.512.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End1.2
red by 2.0
5526
#17
11.10.0
10.410.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End0.6