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Red49
335413.8
949912.1
228318.6
Blue63
670218.8
617016.1
440114.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4854204060801004963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#26
18.60.1
18.418.6
Auto9.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
blue by 0.2
6702
#19
18.80.2
18.418.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Second
13.80.1
13.713.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End1.4
blue by 2.2
16.10.2
15.715.9
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Third
9499
#15
12.10.1
12.012.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End3.1
blue by 2.2
4401
#24
14.30.2
13.914.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End2.0