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Red63
477516.1
460319.5
82918.1
Blue49
757713.1
352614.0
620018.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4752204060806349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.4
19.319.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 1.4
6200
#14
18.10.1
18.518.4
Auto8.8
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Second
16.10.4
15.916.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.1
End1.2
red by 2.1
14.00.1
14.414.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.1
Third
8291
#20
8.10.4
7.98.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End0.6
blue by 5.0
7577
#18
13.10.1
13.513.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.4