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Red39
435512.6
634811.9
951311.6
Blue57
228318.6
704010.9
335413.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394802060801003957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4355
#12
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End2.5
blue by 5.9
2283
#26
18.60.4
18.218.6
Auto9.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Second
6348
#37
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End0.9
blue by 1.9
13.80.3
13.513.9
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End1.4
Third
9513
#30
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End1.7
red by 0.7
7040
#34
10.90.4
10.510.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.8