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Red32
810513.4
913413.8
826616.2
Blue43
757713.1
352614.0
620018.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495130406070803243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8266
#13
16.20.4
16.616.2
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 1.9
6200
#14
18.10.1
18.418.3
Auto8.8
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Second
9134
#11
13.80.4
14.113.8
Auto6.8
Teleop6.0
End0.9
blue by 0.2
14.00.1
14.314.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.1
Third
8105
#10
13.40.4
13.913.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.3
red by 0.4
7577
#18
13.10.1
13.413.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.4