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Red121
348013.1
463535.7
440035.1
Blue74
670218.8
617016.1
440114.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9144020608010012014016012174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.9
33.434.3
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 16.9
6702
#19
18.80.2
17.717.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Second
35.10.9
32.833.7
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End1.9
red by 19.0
16.10.2
15.015.1
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Third
3480
#28
13.11.0
10.611.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End1.2
blue by 1.2
4401
#24
14.30.2
13.113.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End2.0