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Red35
97624.7
90020.8
903212.6
Blue60
872727.6
96053.5
69327.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453702060803560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#6
20.80.3
20.920.6
Auto10.0
Teleop9.6
End1.2
blue by 6.9
27.60.1
20.920.9
Auto12.2
Teleop13.8
End1.6
Second
9032
#21
12.60.5
9.18.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End1.4
red by 5.1
6932
#26
7.50.1
6.86.6
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
Third
9762
#25
4.70.5
9.48.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End0.7
red by 1.2
3.50.1
6.46.2
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed