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Red33
92985.8
789014.4
97895.7
Blue30
92975.5
90425.3
350619.1
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293610204050603330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7890
#13
14.40.6
12.812.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 4.8
19.10.2
17.717.5
Auto10.8
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Second
9298
#18
5.81.0
7.66.6
Auto1.5
Teleop3.4
End0.9
red by 0.2
9297
#28
5.50.2
8.78.5
Auto1.3
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Third
9789
#17
5.71.0
6.55.5
Auto4.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
red by 0.4
9042
#27
5.30.1
5.25.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed