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Red48
368011.0
776327.2
57277.6
Blue23
42909.7
486111.1
56796.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593102040801004823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.1
24.124.0
Auto9.5
Teleop17.0
End0.6
red by 16.1
4861
#22
11.10.5
9.59.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End0.5
Second
3680
#23
11.00.2
7.57.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.0
red by 1.3
4290
#20
9.70.9
14.513.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Third
5727
#15
7.60.2
18.017.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End1.0
red by 1.1
5679
#24
6.50.9
7.06.1
Auto4.2
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed