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Red45
97624.7
58722.1
903212.6
Blue17
96053.5
4358.3
91506.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362004060804517

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#9
22.10.6
14.014.6
Auto10.4
Teleop9.3
End2.4
red by 13.7
435
#12
8.31.2
5.54.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Second
9032
#21
12.61.1
8.09.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End1.4
red by 5.8
9150
#11
6.81.2
5.94.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Third
9762
#25
4.71.1
8.49.4
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End0.7
red by 1.2
3.52.0
8.36.4
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned