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Red71
479530.1
903212.6
91506.8
Blue28
69327.5
663914.0
92985.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482404060801007128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.7
27.428.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.9
End0.6
red by 16.0
6639
#10
14.00.4
13.213.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Second
9032
#21
12.61.1
8.69.7
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End1.4
red by 5.1
6932
#26
7.50.4
6.67.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
Third
9150
#11
6.80.7
4.75.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End0.7
red by 1.0
9298
#18
5.80.4
4.75.1
Auto1.5
Teleop3.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed